Premier League predictions, odds and best bets: Jamie Vardy can take centre stage on Super Sunday
Watch Nottingham Forest vs Leicester and Liverpool vs Arsenal live on Sky Sports
Sunday 11 May 2025 17:28, UK
Our betting expert Jones Knows unleashes his insight and angles across the Premier League and thinks Nottingham Forest are vulnerable at home to Leicester.
Newcastle vs Chelsea, Sunday 12pm
Lots being on the line, added to two teams who know how to mix it, means this should be a full-blooded affair. They've already played one another twice this season and there's been 15 cards shown in total, so there is spice potential.
Enzo Fernandez's price stands out on picking up a booking based on his likely match-up with Bruno Guimaraes in central areas. It's Brazil vs Argentina in there and Bruno is a foul-drawing master, having been responsible for getting 34 players booked since the start of last season - a huge figure.
Fernandez's cards data away from home recently is very appealing too - he's been carded in six of his last nine away games.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Enzo Fernandez to be carded (2/1 with Sky Bet)
Nottingham Forest vs Leicester, Sunday 2.15pm, live on Sky Sports
Nottingham Forest are ridiculously short in the betting here at 1/3 with Sky Bet, even against a team like Leicester, when you factor in what is on the line and the expectation on the home side to win the game. It's something they've not coped with at home, losing to both Everton and Brentford in front of a very nervy crowd.
So at the prices, Forest have to be taken on here, but I want to chase a bigger price in Jamie Vardy to score and be carded at 18/1 with Sky Bet.
Vardy will be relishing this occasion. He needs just one goal to reach 200 for Leicester and you can see him doing it at the City Ground, with perhaps a prepared shirt underneath celebrating the milestone.
He's in the shop window too, isn't he? Strikers don't come more motivated when trying to play for a next contract so he's going to be doing his upmost to grab the limelight.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Jamie Vardy to score and to be carded (18/1 with Sky Bet)
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace, Sunday 2.15pm
"Who cares if we've struggled in the league?" beamed Ange Postecoglou after going to the Arctic Circle and getting the job done in impressive fashion on Thursday night. Judging by his words, it will be another rest and rotate job for this one in what could be a very low-key game up against another team with a huge fixture on the horizon.
Oliver Glasner seems a little more convinced about keeping the rhythm of his team together in the build-up to that Wembley final and it's easy to see why the market favours them here at 29/20 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Manchester United vs West Ham, Sunday 2.15pm
The one constant this season in a bang average West Ham side has been Jarrod Bowen's attacking output.
He will have been disappointed not to have kicked on in terms of improving last year's numbers but a per-90 average of 0.59 goal involvements is still something to be proud of playing for a team who could finish 17th in the Premier League. Bowen has four goal involvements in his last three games and is 11/8 with Sky Bet to grab another.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Liverpool vs Arsenal, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports
Arsenal have scored 17 goals fewer and recorded 20.7 expected goals fewer than Liverpool in the Premier League this season. That has held them back and has proven costly across all their major trophy hunts this season. Just look at that first 10 minutes at Paris Saint-Germain.
They were sensational in every department, apart from the most important one - putting the ball in the net.
One player that may start doing that more next season is Declan Rice, who remains very attractive in the goalscorer markets based on his new position playing in the No 8 role. In his 54 starts in that position, he's managed to score 12 goals. Those numbers make the 20/1 first goalscorer price with Sky Bet look a little wild.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2
Jones Knows' best bets...
- 1pt double on: Aston Villa to win ✅ & Enzo Fernandez to be carded (7/1 with Sky Bet)
- 1pt on: Jamie Vardy to score & to be carded (18/1 with Sky Bet)
P+L = +8.97
